Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.298218 0.399956 0.512240 0.643249 0.790026 0.947777 1.128615
2025-06-22 0.148912 0.273754 0.431112 0.632765 0.875385 1.150802 1.480782
2025-06-29 0.077412 0.199779 0.374412 0.615036 0.918922 1.275762 1.714320
2025-07-06 0.047270 0.170632 0.366488 0.651064 1.022267 1.467509 2.023153
2025-07-13 0.029502 0.152421 0.367788 0.694434 1.131038 1.662841 2.333693
2025-07-20 0.016799 0.135742 0.366971 0.731944 1.230335 1.845369 2.628183
2025-07-27 0.011512 0.133300 0.387361 0.798257 1.366424 2.072799 2.976399
2025-08-03 0.005859 0.123170 0.392410 0.841099 1.470798 2.260476 3.276482
2025-08-10 0.001053 0.102424 0.374470 0.847611 1.525145 2.384611 3.498768
2025-08-17 NaN 0.068680 0.322865 0.797870 1.499840 2.405828 3.593421
2025-08-24 NaN 0.040769 0.271292 0.741495 1.460925 2.406508 3.660224
2025-08-31 NaN 0.026284 0.243632 0.720213 1.468621 2.465252 3.797290
2025-09-07 NaN 0.019971 0.237297 0.737195 1.534909 2.605565 4.043328
2025-09-14 NaN 0.011586 0.217514 0.728541 1.563544 2.696957 4.229242
2025-09-21 NaN 0.004900 0.193614 0.708731 1.573446 2.761884 4.380298
2025-09-28 NaN 0.004105 0.200322 0.747711 1.671935 2.945480 4.682417
2025-10-05 NaN 0.003873 0.210819 0.794249 1.782034 3.144843 5.004845
2025-10-12 NaN 0.003306 0.218172 0.834487 1.882599 3.331512 5.311296
2025-10-19 NaN 0.004506 0.240710 0.905433 2.030331 3.581988 5.699482
2025-10-26 NaN 0.004220 0.250697 0.951175 2.139595 3.780737 6.021815
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002119 0.241687 0.958121 2.189234 3.898981 6.241336
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000010 0.205162 0.905020 2.144435 3.888212 6.294825
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.168249 0.844715 2.085041 3.855361 6.318191